Multilevel model of accuracy

Params:

params
$dv_var
[1] "ACC.pli"

$nsim
[1] 10000

$plot_ymax
[1] 0.04

$plot_yshift
[1] -0.006

Read in data

DV_VAR = params$dv_var

all.dat = read.csv('data/1_scored.csv')
all.dat$Subject = factor(all.dat$Subject)
all.dat$dv = all.dat[,DV_VAR]

# Remove regular ospan, which has substantially lower accuracy 
# due to verification requirements
dat = subset(all.dat, !task %in% 'Ospan.reg')

# Mark high and low interference conditions
low_int = c('spOspan.noVer', 'Ospan.scram.noVer', 'Rspan.names.long', 'Rspan.names.short', 'Ospan.reg')
dat$interference = ifelse(dat$task %in% low_int, 'low', 'high')

Models

dat$cond = paste(dat$interference, dat$trialtype)
contrasts(dat$trialtype) <- c(0,1)                # similarity increment

Model with recall predictions for each interference:trialtype explicit

fit.mlm = lmer(dv ~ 0 + cond + (1 | task:Subject) + (1 | task), data=dat)
summary(fit.mlm)
Linear mixed model fit by REML ['lmerMod']
Formula: dv ~ 0 + cond + (1 | task:Subject) + (1 | task)
   Data: dat

REML criterion at convergence: -2157.2

Scaled residuals: 
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-1.3324 -0.6772  0.0022  0.0164  6.1485 

Random effects:
 Groups       Name        Variance  Std.Dev.
 task:Subject (Intercept) 8.103e-06 0.002847
 task         (Intercept) 0.000e+00 0.000000
 Residual                 1.408e-04 0.011866
Number of obs: 368, groups:  task:Subject, 184; task, 12

Fixed effects:
            Estimate Std. Error t value
condhigh D 0.0157077  0.0011531  13.623
condhigh S 0.0008267  0.0011531   0.717
condlow D  0.0084877  0.0014381   5.902
condlow S  0.0002572  0.0014381   0.179

Correlation of Fixed Effects:
           cndhgD cndhgS cndlwD
condhigh S 0.054               
condlow D  0.000  0.000        
condlow S  0.000  0.000  0.054 

Same model contrast coded for similarity benefit

fit.mlm.con = lmer(dv ~ 0 + interference/trialtype + (1 | task:Subject) + (1 | task), data=dat)
summary(fit.mlm.con)
Linear mixed model fit by REML ['lmerMod']
Formula: dv ~ 0 + interference/trialtype + (1 | task:Subject) + (1 | task)
   Data: dat

REML criterion at convergence: -2157.2

Scaled residuals: 
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-1.3324 -0.6772  0.0022  0.0164  6.1485 

Random effects:
 Groups       Name        Variance  Std.Dev. 
 task:Subject (Intercept) 8.103e-06 2.847e-03
 task         (Intercept) 1.286e-18 1.134e-09
 Residual                 1.408e-04 1.187e-02
Number of obs: 368, groups:  task:Subject, 184; task, 12

Fixed effects:
                             Estimate Std. Error t value
interferencehigh             0.015708   0.001153  13.623
interferencelow              0.008488   0.001438   5.902
interferencehigh:trialtype1 -0.014881   0.001586  -9.385
interferencelow:trialtype1  -0.008230   0.001978  -4.162

Correlation of Fixed Effects:
            intrfrnch intrfrncl intrfrnch:1
interfrnclw  0.000                         
intrfrnch:1 -0.688     0.000               
intrfrncl:1  0.000    -0.688     0.000     

Same model contrast coded for interference benefit

fit.mlm.int = lmer(dv ~ 0 + trialtype/interference + (1 | task:Subject) + (1 | task), data=dat)
summary(fit.mlm.int)
Linear mixed model fit by REML ['lmerMod']
Formula: dv ~ 0 + trialtype/interference + (1 | task:Subject) + (1 | task)
   Data: dat

REML criterion at convergence: -2157.2

Scaled residuals: 
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-1.3324 -0.6772  0.0022  0.0164  6.1485 

Random effects:
 Groups       Name        Variance  Std.Dev.
 task:Subject (Intercept) 8.103e-06 0.002847
 task         (Intercept) 0.000e+00 0.000000
 Residual                 1.408e-04 0.011866
Number of obs: 368, groups:  task:Subject, 184; task, 12

Fixed effects:
                             Estimate Std. Error t value
trialtypeD                  0.0157077  0.0011531  13.623
trialtypeS                  0.0008267  0.0011531   0.717
trialtypeD:interferencelow -0.0072200  0.0018433  -3.917
trialtypeS:interferencelow -0.0005695  0.0018433  -0.309

Correlation of Fixed Effects:
            trltyD trltyS trltD:
trialtypeS   0.054              
trltypD:ntr -0.626 -0.034       
trltypS:ntr -0.034 -0.626  0.054

Why is task variance estimated to be 0?

Sanity check, injecting noise at task level. Note the accurate task variance estimates.

tmp_dat = ddply(dat, .(task), transform, dv = dv + rnorm(1, sd=.1))
fit.mlm2 = lmer(dv ~ 0 + cond + (1 | task:Subject) + (1 | task), data=tmp_dat)
summary(fit.mlm2)
Linear mixed model fit by REML ['lmerMod']
Formula: dv ~ 0 + cond + (1 | task:Subject) + (1 | task)
   Data: tmp_dat

REML criterion at convergence: -2090.2

Scaled residuals: 
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-1.6073 -0.5913 -0.0478  0.1259  6.0911 

Random effects:
 Groups       Name        Variance  Std.Dev.
 task:Subject (Intercept) 7.608e-06 0.002758
 task         (Intercept) 4.848e-03 0.069625
 Residual                 1.408e-04 0.011866
Number of obs: 368, groups:  task:Subject, 184; task, 12

Fixed effects:
            Estimate Std. Error t value
condhigh D  0.007134   0.024644   0.290
condhigh S -0.007747   0.024644  -0.314
condlow D  -0.052182   0.034842  -1.498
condlow S  -0.060412   0.034842  -1.734

Correlation of Fixed Effects:
           cndhgD cndhgS cndlwD
condhigh S 0.998               
condlow D  0.000  0.000        
condlow S  0.000  0.000  0.998 

Another Sanity check, looking at task variance from ANOVA standpoint. Note that the F-value for task is 1 (no between task var beyond subject var)

fit.aov = aov(dv ~ interference + task + Error(task:Subject), data=dat)
Warning in aov(dv ~ interference + task + Error(task:Subject), data =
dat): Error() model is singular
summary(fit.aov)

Error: task:Subject
              Df   Sum Sq   Mean Sq F value  Pr(>F)   
interference   1 0.001330 0.0013296   8.522 0.00398 **
task          10 0.001741 0.0001741   1.116 0.35295   
Residuals    172 0.026836 0.0001560                   
---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1

Error: Within
           Df  Sum Sq   Mean Sq F value Pr(>F)
Residuals 184 0.04047 0.0002199               

Confidence Intervals

Computing bootstrap confidence intervals ...
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
                                   2.5 %      97.5 %
sd_(Intercept)|task:Subject  0.000000000 0.005372848
sd_(Intercept)|task          0.000000000 0.002296895
sigma                        0.010654498 0.012857745
condhigh D                   0.013512107 0.017953509
condhigh S                  -0.001439155 0.003081612
condlow D                    0.005676607 0.011272283
condlow S                   -0.002592041 0.002964397
Computing bootstrap confidence intervals ...
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 1 from bobyqa: bobyqa --
maximum number of function evaluations exceeded
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
                                   2.5 %       97.5 %
sd_(Intercept)|task:Subject  0.000000000  0.005414811
sd_(Intercept)|task          0.000000000  0.002338520
sigma                        0.010634333  0.012819305
interferencehigh             0.013443174  0.017981917
interferencelow              0.005790776  0.011298175
interferencehigh:trialtype1 -0.017947443 -0.011723088
interferencelow:trialtype1  -0.012161966 -0.004442335

Cohen's d

Here, I divided group differences by either the residual variance, or between-subject variance + residual variance.

Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in checkConv(attr(opt, "derivs"), opt$par, ctrl =
control$checkConv, : Model failed to converge: degenerate Hessian with 1
negative eigenvalues
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
Warning in optwrap(object@optinfo$optimizer, ff, x0, lower = lower,
control = control$optCtrl, : convergence code 3 from bobyqa: bobyqa -- a
trust region step failed to reduce q
$d_high
BOOTSTRAP CONFIDENCE INTERVAL CALCULATIONS
Based on 10000 bootstrap replicates

CALL : 
boot.ci(boot.out = booted, type = c("norm", "perc"), index = ii)

Intervals : 
Level      Normal             Percentile     
95%   (-1.0853, -0.6714 )   (-1.1124, -0.6969 )  
Calculations and Intervals on Original Scale

$d_low
BOOTSTRAP CONFIDENCE INTERVAL CALCULATIONS
Based on 10000 bootstrap replicates

CALL : 
boot.ci(boot.out = booted, type = c("norm", "perc"), index = ii)

Intervals : 
Level      Normal             Percentile     
95%   (-0.7233, -0.2485 )   (-0.7334, -0.2636 )  
Calculations and Intervals on Original Scale

$d_sub_high
BOOTSTRAP CONFIDENCE INTERVAL CALCULATIONS
Based on 10000 bootstrap replicates

CALL : 
boot.ci(boot.out = booted, type = c("norm", "perc"), index = ii)

Intervals : 
Level      Normal             Percentile     
95%   (-1.0664, -0.6705 )   (-1.0863, -0.6884 )  
Calculations and Intervals on Original Scale

$d_sub_low
BOOTSTRAP CONFIDENCE INTERVAL CALCULATIONS
Based on 10000 bootstrap replicates

CALL : 
boot.ci(boot.out = booted, type = c("norm", "perc"), index = ii)

Intervals : 
Level      Normal             Percentile     
95%   (-0.7125, -0.2483 )   (-0.7202, -0.2604 )  
Calculations and Intervals on Original Scale

Plotting

Means and Standard Errors

The following `from` values were not present in `x`: Ospan.reg
p + 
  geom_rect(aes(x=NULL, y=NULL, shape=NULL,xmin=xmin, xmax=xmax, ymin=ymin, ymax=ymax),
            color='black', fill='white', data=group_annot) + 
  geom_text(aes(shape=NULL, color=NULL, x=text.x, y=text.y, label=label), 
            show_guide=FALSE, data=group_annot) + pub_theme + colors + shapes
Scale for 'colour' is already present. Adding another scale for 'colour', which will replace the existing scale.
Scale for 'shape' is already present. Adding another scale for 'shape', which will replace the existing scale.
ymax not defined: adjusting position using y instead


title: "1_mlm.R" author: "machow" date: "Wed Jan 13 12:31:53 2016"